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Stirlings formula is an indispensable tool for all combinatorial and statistical
problems because it allows to deal with factorials, i.e. expressions based on the definition
1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5 · .... · N := N! |
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It exists in several modifications; all of which are approximations with different
degrees of precision. It is relatively easy to deduce its more simple version. We have |
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ln x! | = |
ln 1 + ln 2 + ln 3 + .... + ln x | = |
x
S
1 | ln y |
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With y = positive integer running from 1 to x |
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For large y we may replace the sum by an integration in a good approximation and obtain |
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x S 1 |
ln y | » |
x ó õ 1 |
(ln y) · dy |
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With (ln y) · dy = y · ln y – y, we obtain |
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This is the simple version of Stirlings formula. it can be even more simplified
for large x because then x + 1 << x · ln x; and the most simple version,
perfectly sufficient for many cases, results: |
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However!! We not only produced a simple approximation
for x!, but turned a discrete function having values for integers only,
into a continuous function, giving numbers for something like 3,141! - which may or may not make sense.
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This may have dire consequences. Using the Strirling formula you may, e.g., move from absolute
probabilities (always a number between 0 and 1) to probability densities
(any positive number) without being aware of it. |
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Finally, an even better approximation exists (the prove of which would take some
20 pages) and which is already rather good for small values of x, say x > 10:
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x! | » |
(2p)1/2 · x(x + ½) · e
x |
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© H. Föll (Defects - Script)